Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000114 0.000125 0.000137 0.000150 0.000165 0.000182 0.000201
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000109 0.000128 0.000152 0.000181 0.000214 0.000257
2025-12-07 0.000081 0.000100 0.000124 0.000155 0.000195 0.000246 0.000315
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000090 0.000116 0.000152 0.000201 0.000265 0.000358
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000081 0.000108 0.000146 0.000201 0.000277 0.000392
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000076 0.000105 0.000147 0.000209 0.000300 0.000443
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000072 0.000102 0.000148 0.000218 0.000324 0.000498
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000068 0.000098 0.000146 0.000222 0.000339 0.000542
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000096 0.000147 0.000229 0.000362 0.000600
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000061 0.000092 0.000144 0.000232 0.000377 0.000645
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000090 0.000144 0.000238 0.000397 0.000703
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000087 0.000142 0.000239 0.000410 0.000748
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000138 0.000238 0.000420 0.000791
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000140 0.000248 0.000450 0.000879
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000143 0.000260 0.000485 0.000983
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000046 0.000078 0.000140 0.000261 0.000500 0.001043
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000135 0.000256 0.000503 0.001080
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000136 0.000264 0.000530 0.001177
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000072 0.000137 0.000272 0.000561 0.001285
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000135 0.000273 0.000577 0.001362
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000135 0.000280 0.000607 0.001475
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000067 0.000133 0.000281 0.000623 0.001557
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000133 0.000287 0.000649 0.001671